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Affective forecasting
is the process of predicting how future events will influence emotional well-being. People often use affective forecasting when making decisions, but affective forecasts are vulnerable to error. Like our Facebook page to keep posted.

Recent Articles on Affective Forecasting

Hoerger, M., Chapman, B. P., Epstein, R. M., & Duberstein, P. R. (in press). Emotional intelligence: A theoretical framework for individual differences in affective forecasting. Emotion.

Hoerger, M., Quirk, S. W., Chapman, B. P., & Duberstein, P. R. (in press). Affective forecasting and self-rated symptoms of depression, anxiety, and hypomania: Evidence for a dysphoric forecasting bias. Cognition & Emotion.

Hoerger, M. (in press). Coping strategies and immune neglect in affective forecasting: Direct evidence and key moderators. Judgment and Decision Making.

Tomlinson, J. M., Carmichael, C. L., Reis, H. T., Aron, A. (2010). Affective forecasting and individual differences: Accuracy for relational events and anxious attachment. Emotion, 10, 447-453. |PDF|

Hoerger, M., Quirk, S. W. (2010). Affective forecasting and the Big Five. Personality and Individual Differences, 49, 972-976. |PDF|

Hoerger, M., Quirk, S. W., Lucas, R. E., & Carr, T. H. (2010). Cognitive determinants of affective forecasting errors. Judgment and Decision Making, 5, 365-373. |PDF|

Hoerger, M., Quirk, S. W., Lucas, R. E., & Carr, T. H. (2009). Immune neglect in affective forecasting. Journal of Research in Personality, 43, 91-94. |PDF|

Core Readings on Affective Forecasting

Wilson, T. D., Wheatley, T. P., Meyers, J. M., Gilbert, D. T., & Axsom, D. (2000). Focalism: A source of durability bias in affective forecasting. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 78, 821-836. |PDF|

Gilbert, D. T., Pinel, E. C., Wilson, T. D., Blumberg, S. J., & Wheatley, T. (1998). Immune neglect: A source of durability bias in affective forecasting. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 75, 617-638. |PDF|